Verdict: Total goals over 3.5
Best odds: 83/100
Bookmaker: Luckster
Bayern Munich travel to the Red Bull Arena on Saturday, knowing that a victory over RB Leipzig would be enough for them to secure the 2024/25 Bundesliga title.
Leipzig sit fifth with 49 points after a 4-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt on April 26th, while Bayern lead the table with 75 points, holding an eight-point advantage over second-placed Bayer Leverkusen with only three matches left to play.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig were only 1-0 down against Eintracht Frankfurt before going down to 10 men in the 50th minute, after which they failed to create any big chances.
They started the Bundesliga season with six clean sheets in their first eight matches but have managed just seven shutouts in the 23 games since, conceding in each of their last five league outings.
Interim manager Zsolt Low remains hopeful of securing Champions League qualification, with Leipzig sitting just two points behind fourth-placed Freiburg, though they are also only two points ahead of seventh-placed Mainz 05 and at risk of missing out on European football altogether.
Before their recent loss to Frankfurt, Leipzig had gone three games unbeaten, drawing once and winning twice, and have won three of their last six Bundesliga fixtures, losing two.
Their home form remains strong, having lost just once in their last 11 matches at Red Bull Arena, winning seven in that stretch. It remains to be seen if it’ll be good enough to ward off a title-chasing Bayern.
Team News
Centre-back El Chadaille Bitshiabu will be suspended for RB Leipzig after receiving a red card against Eintracht, ing injured defenders Benjamin Henrichs and Willi Orban on the sidelines.
With goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi dealing with a concussion, Maarten Vandevoordt is expected to start in goal, ed by a back four of Kosta Nedeljkovic, Lukas Klostermann, Castello Lukeba, and David Raum.
In midfield, the ongoing hamstring issue for Xaver Schlager, who may be sidelined until mid-May, could see Nicolas Seiwald and Amadou Haidara step in as the central pairing.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich defeated Mainz 3-0 on April 26 but were lucky not to fall behind early, as Jonathan Burkardt missed a clear opportunity following a defensive error in the sixth minute.
The Bavarians have scored 18 goals across their last seven matches and lead the Bundesliga with 90 goals—24 more than any other side. They will clinch the title with a win over Leipzig, or if Bayer Leverkusen fail to beat Freiburg on Sunday. A draw would likely suffice given Bayern’s superior goal difference of 61, which is 30 better than Leverkusen’s.
Vincent Kompany’s side are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Leipzig, including a 5-1 win in December, and they’ve not lost in their last nine away matches, winning six.
Team News
However, Bayern will be without suspended striker Harry Kane and injured playmaker Jamal Musiala. Thomas Muller is expected to lead the attack, ed by Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, and Leroy Sane.
In defence, Kompany faces a selection headache due to injuries to Alphonso Davies, Dayot Upamecano, Hiroki Ito, and Kim Min-jae. Fullback-by-trade Josip Stanisic may slot in at centre-back alongside Eric Dier, while Konrad Laimer could fill in at right-back, and Raphael Guerreiro is set to start on the left.
Conclusion
Even without Kane in the team, Bayern still possess a potent attacking section and are likely to find the net multiple times.
That said, their weakened and injury-hit defence makes them vulnerable, and Leipzig could realistically capitalize with chances of their own in the final third.
Verdict: Total goals over 3.5
Best odds: 83/100
Bookmaker: Luckster
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